Hotel Feasibility Study

  • Financial modelling
  • Dashboard
  • Reporting
Hotel Feasibility Study — SaaS product

Evaluate project viability, forecast financial performance and generate professional feasibility reports — IRR, NPV, cash flow — without the complexity of traditional spreadsheets.

Who it was built for

The business, and what they came with.

Built for

Hotel Feasibility Study

A SaaS product for the developers and consultants who decide whether a hotel project is worth building, and who have to prove it to a lender.

The brief

That decision normally lives in a spreadsheet only its author can operate, and it has to be rebuilt for every site. The product turns the model into software: inputs in, IRR, NPV and cash flow out, and a report at the end that a bank will read.

What we delivered

What Hotel Feasibility Study has now that they did not have before.

  • The financial model as a product

    Viability, forecast performance and cash flow are calculated from structured inputs, so the maths is the same on every project and nobody is auditing formulas.

  • Reports built for third parties

    Feasibility output is formatted for the audience that decides — investors and lenders — rather than for the person who ran the numbers.

  • Numbers read as charts

    Performance and cash flow are visualised in a dashboard, which is how a room full of stakeholders looks at a forecast.

Where the growth comes from

Why each piece of the build pays for itself.

  • It sells a decision, not a tool

    The deliverable is a document that supports a funding conversation. That is what the buyer is actually paying for.

  • Consultants bill sooner

    A repeatable model means the analysis stops being bespoke work every time, so the same team can take on more studies.

The business analysis

Market, model and architecture. Every figure is either cited or labelled as a model.

This product competes with a spreadsheet, and the spreadsheet is winning almost everywhere. That is the commercial problem worth analysing: not whether the maths can be put into software — it obviously can — but why an industry that routinely commits two hundred million dollars on the strength of a workbook keeps choosing the workbook. The answer is that the spreadsheet is trusted, and trust is what a feasibility product has to earn before it can sell anything.

Median US hotel development cost per room
$213,000
From HVS's survey of 2025 construction budgets. Luxury projects exceed $1.6m per key.

Source · HVS U.S. Hotel Development Cost Survey 2026

Audited spreadsheets containing errors
84%
Across 163 operational spreadsheets examined in the studies Panko collates. Later, stricter studies found 91% of 54.

Source · Ray Panko, Audits of Operational Spreadsheets

Cell error rate in spreadsheet development
1–6%
Low per cell, near-certain across a large model. This is the argument for software, stated precisely.

Source · Panko, The Cognitive Science of Spreadsheet Errors (HICSS)

Audiences for one output
3
The developer deciding, the consultant producing, and the lender reading. Only the third one signs the cheque.

Model · Counted from the audiences documented in this case study.

The sums being checked are very large

Hotel feasibility is a high-stakes, low-frequency decision, and that combination is what makes the incumbent tool so hard to displace. HVS's survey of 2025 US construction budgets puts median development cost at $213,000 per room, with luxury builds above $1.6m per key 1. A modest hundred-room select-service project is therefore a twenty-million-dollar commitment, and a large one is an order of magnitude beyond that.

What a feasibility study is deciding, at HVS median cost

Total development cost at the published median of $213,000 per room. The multiplication is ours; the per-room figure is HVS's.

60-room limited service
$12.8m
100-room select service
$21.3m

The common case. A single wrong assumption here is worth more than the software costs for a decade.

180-room full service
$38.3m
180-room luxury, at $1.6m per key
$288m

HVS reports luxury exceeding $1.6m per key. At that end the study is a rounding error against the risk.

Model · Room counts chosen by us, multiplied by HVS's published median of $213,000 per room and its stated luxury figure of $1.6m per key. Arithmetic, not a survey.

The case against the spreadsheet, stated properly

The honest version of this argument is not that spreadsheets are bad. It is that they are accurate per cell and unreliable per model. Ray Panko's collation of spreadsheet audits found errors in 84% of 163 operational spreadsheets, and the four most recent studies at the time — using stricter methods — found errors in 91% of the 54 they inspected 23. The underlying cell error rate is only 1% to 6%, which is precisely why the problem persists: nobody's individual work feels wrong 4.

Share of audited spreadsheets found to contain errors

Two collations of the same literature. The later group used stricter detection, and found more. Neither figure is about hotel models specifically — it is about workbooks of this size and complexity.

  • 84%
  • 91%
  • 163 audited
  • 54 audited, stricter

Source · Panko, Audits of Operational Spreadsheets; EuSpRIG conference paper

That is the entire product thesis, and it is a governance argument rather than a productivity one. Structured inputs and a fixed calculation engine mean the maths is identical on every project and nobody is auditing formulas. What the buyer gains is not speed. It is the ability to stop checking.

Where the revenue comes from

MechanicWhat the buyer is paying forWhy it holds up
A repeatable modelThe same engine on every site, so analysis stops being bespokeConsultants are judged on turnaround as much as on rigour
Lender-ready reportingA document formatted for the audience that decides, not for its authorThe output is an input to a funding conversation, which is where the value is
Charts over cellsA forecast a room of stakeholders can read togetherNobody presents a workbook to an investment committee

What the deliverable is actually for

Our apportionment of the product's value across its three delivered capabilities, weighted by which of them the buyer would refuse to give up.

Third-party-ready report45%
The artefact that supports the funding conversation. Remove it and the product is a calculator.
Fixed, auditable model35%
Removes formula risk and the rebuild-per-site tax.
Dashboard visualisation20%
How the numbers get presented and argued about in a room.

Model · Our weighting of the three delivered capabilities in this case study by their contribution to the purchase decision.

From site assumptions to a document a bank will read

The spine is deliberately short. The offshoots are where feasibility work actually gets contested.

  1. Structured inputs

    Site, room count, build cost, ramp-up, operating assumptions and capital structure entered as fields rather than typed into cells.

  2. The model runs

    Viability, forecast performance and cash flow calculated by the same engine on every project. No formula is authored per study.

  3. Does the project clear the hurdle?decision

    IRR and NPV against the required return. This is the moment the study exists for.

    • Marginal → assumptions revisited, not the formulas
    • Fails → the cheapest possible outcome, reached early
  4. Charted for the room

    Performance and cash flow visualised, because a forecast gets discussed by several people at once.

  5. Report issued to third parties

    Formatted for investors and lenders. The deliverable is a decision document, and that is what the buyer is paying for.

The shape of a financial-model product

No client-specific technology stack was published for this project, so this describes the responsibilities such a product must separate rather than the named libraries used.

  1. Input capture

    Turns a site into structured assumptions, with validation, so a nonsense input is caught before it reaches the model rather than after.

    • Structured forms
    • Validation
    • Assumption sets per project
  2. Calculation engine

    One implementation of the maths, versioned. The single most important property is that it is the same for every study.

    • IRR
    • NPV
    • Cash flow projection
    • Ramp-up curves
  3. Presentation

    Charts and dashboards for the internal conversation, where the numbers get challenged.

    • Performance dashboard
    • Cash-flow visualisation
  4. Reporting

    The external artefact. Built for lenders and investors, which is a different document from the one the analyst works in.

    • Feasibility report generation
    • Third-party formatting

What we would watch

RiskWhy it bitesEarly indicator
Model trustConsultants displace a workbook they built and understand. A single unexplained variance against their own model ends adoptionUsers exporting to a spreadsheet to check the output rather than to present it
Assumption rigidityA fixed engine is the product's main advantage and its main limitation. Unusual capital structures are where feasibility work is hardestFeature requests that are really requests for a formula override
Low purchase frequencyFeasibility studies are episodic, so a seat licence idles between projects and gets cancelledRenewal conversations that hinge on how many studies were run last year

References

  1. 1.U.S. Hotel Development Cost Survey 2026 · HVS
  2. 2.Audits of Operational Spreadsheets · Ray Panko, University of Hawaii
  3. 3.Reducing Overconfidence in Spreadsheet Development · EuSpRIG
  4. 4.What We Know About Spreadsheet Errors (revised) · Ray Panko, arXiv

Who it is for

The people whose problem this solves, and what they came for.

  • Hotel developers

    Need to know whether a site works before committing capital.

  • Feasibility consultants

    Produce the study, and are judged on turnaround as much as rigour.

  • Lenders and investors

    Read the output and decide with it.

The closest work to Hotel Feasibility Study, scored for relevance rather than picked by position.

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